Private for-profit · COLLEGE PAYOFF

Avalon Institute-Mesa

Mesa, AZ · 1 reportable field-and-credential outcomes

MODELED SCENARIO · Negative payoff

−$421,018 over 10 years

Modeled from observed year-5 institution earnings and the institution-wide average net price over four years.

At these assumptions, the estimated earnings premium does not recover the modeled economic investment within ten years.

Modeled economic break-even
−165%Modeled 10-year ROI
$28,487Observed earnings · year 5
Economic ROI includes direct price and earnings forgone during study · $45,000 comparison earnings · values held flat · see the formula
ECONOMIC INVESTMENT → PAYBACK

Estimated payoff over ten years.

The scenario counts direct price and earnings forgone upfront, then applies the reported annual earnings premium.

10-YEAR PAYOFF CURVECumulative economic payoff after graduation
−$421,018at year 10
Net gainInvestment not yet recovered
NET GAIN$0UNRECOVERED
−$255,8880
2
4
6
8
−$421,01810
Years after graduationBreak-even: years
FEDERAL COST DATA

Four ways to read college price.

Annual college-wide figures from the current College Scorecard release. Average net price covers full-time, first-time undergraduates receiving federal aid; public-college figures use in-state students. Program tuition and individual aid offers may differ.

Published in-state tuitionNot available
Sticker price
Published out-of-state tuitionNot available
Sticker price
Average net price$18,972
Title IV student average
Cost of attendance$22,699
Tuition + living budget
PRICE SOURCECollege reported · annual amount · federal dataset
OBSERVED FEDERAL MEASURES

Cost, debt, completion and earnings context

$18,972Average net price / year
$22,699Cost of attendance
$6,332Median federal student debt · completer borrowers
$67/moPublished 10-year payment estimate
$28,487Median earnings · year 5 after completion
84.1%Completion rate
Not availableAdmission rate
298Student size

Institution debt covers federal student-loan borrowers who completed. Parent PLUS and private loans are excluded; missing and privacy-suppressed values remain unavailable.

PRICE BY FAMILY INCOME

Average net price is not one price

Federal averages for aided students in each family-income band. Your aid offer can differ.

$0–30k$19,123
$30–48k$18,379
$48–75k$12,036
$75–110k$18,540
$110k+Not available
LONGER-TERM CONTEXT

What happens beyond the first earnings measure

Year 5$28,487
Year 6$29,562
Year 10$30,803
Full-time retention
86.0%
Part-time retention
74.8%
Completion within 200% of normal time
80.4%

Earnings timepoints may use different historical cohorts and should not be read as one group’s guaranteed salary growth.

NATIONAL CONTEXT

How this college compares

Percentiles compare this institution with currently operating colleges that report the same federal measure.

20thEarnings percentile
86thCompletion percentile
WHAT STANDS OUT

A faster read on this college

These summaries use only reportable field-and-credential records at this institution. They do not fill privacy-suppressed outcomes.

$33,458Median year-4 earnings across reportable program categories
$8,081Median federal debt across categories that report debt
100%Of earnings-reporting categories above their same-field national benchmark
EARNINGS PATH

Reported earnings over time

$21,447Year 1
$33,261Year 4
$28,487Year 5

Separate federal cohorts may underlie different measurement years.

PROGRAM PAYOFF SPREAD

The college average is not the whole story.

Observed earnings vary substantially by field and credential at the same institution.

1Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma$33,458

Observed year-4 earnings · compare like fields and credentials before deciding

BUILD A REAL SHORTLIST

Comparable colleges in AZ

Currently operating private for-profit institutions with the closest combination of annual net price and observed year-5 earnings. Similarity is descriptive—not a quality ranking.

Avondale, AZ

Aveda Institute Tucson-Avondale

Annual net price
$19,040
Observed earnings · year 5
$29,780
Modeled 10-year ROI
-159%
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Phoenix, AZ

Avalon Institute-Phoenix

Annual net price
$17,439
Observed earnings · year 5
$28,487
Modeled 10-year ROI
-166%
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Tucson, AZ

Pure Aesthetics Natural Skincare School

Annual net price
$19,831
Observed earnings · year 5
$30,667
Modeled 10-year ROI
-155%
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Phoenix, AZ

Paul Mitchell the School-Phoenix

Annual net price
$20,861
Observed earnings · year 5
$29,811
Modeled 10-year ROI
-158%
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ALL REPORTABLE PROGRAM CATEGORIES

Explore exact field-and-credential outcomes

Federal fieldCredentialEarnings, year 4Federal debt
Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming ServicesUndergraduate Certificate or Diploma$33,458$8,081

Earnings, price, completion and enrollment are observed federal measures. ROI, payoff and break-even are modeled scenarios built from those measures and fixed assumptions. College payoff is not the payoff of every degree at this school; use the program table for a more precise comparison.